KYNEX Bulletin                                  

June 2008

 

In this issue we discuss and provide insight into

-           Valuation of equity derivatives with a volatility surface specification.

-          Risk-free versus risky volatility specification for convertible securities.

 

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Volatility Surfaces

We are pleased to announce the release of support for volatility surfaces for the pricing of convertible securities and equity options. Specifying a volatility surface that captures your view of the implied volatility in the market will result in the following benefits:

-         Precise control over the valuation of equity options and the convertible securities.

-         Obtain a Delta profile for hedging that reflects your view of the relationship between spot prices, strikes, expirations and implied volatilities.

We analyzed several instruments (equity options and convertibles) with flat volatilities and volatility surfaces, and we present a summary of our observations below:

·        The effect of the skew in the volatility surface on the valuation is more pronounced as the time to expiration increases. This is especially true for long dated equity options and long call protected convertible securities that have been coming to market in the past year. We strongly recommend the specification of volatility surfaces for valuing convertible securities with over three years of call protection.

·        Volatility surface is a better way to capture skew in valuing mandatory convertibles. If the mandatory convertible has structural features such as calls, and one-to-one upside participation that make a simple decomposition difficult, volatility surfaces is the only way to capture the skew in valuation.

·        Volatility surface is a better way to value convertibles with variable conversion ratio (aka embedded warrants) features. You can specify a surface that captures the appropriate volatilities for the complex set of options that get embedded into a convertible security with the variable conversion ratio feature.

COMPLETE ARTICLE

Risky Vs Risk-free Volatility

We present a discussion on the characteristics of the option embedded in a convertible security. Below is a summary of our conclusions.

-         Visualizing a convertible security to be made up of stock, plus a European put, plus coupons provides a realistic view of the option embedded in a convertible security.

-         The implied volatility computed via risky model should not be compared to risk-free implied volatilities observed in the options market. We are pleased to provide an approximate risk-free volatility for the embedded option in a convertible valued via a risky-model.

-         If you specify a risk-free volatility as input to the model, you must also specify the bankruptcy-mode with an appropriate decay factor to capture the riskiness of the option embedded in a convertible.

COMPLETE ARTICLE

 

 

 

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